Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.016944 0.018785 0.020641 0.022647 0.024749 0.026882 0.029206
2025-06-01 0.013168 0.015978 0.018933 0.022249 0.025840 0.029593 0.033792
2025-06-08 0.010612 0.013956 0.017603 0.021819 0.026503 0.031501 0.037194
2025-06-15 0.008970 0.012688 0.016876 0.021835 0.027456 0.033551 0.040586
2025-06-22 0.007403 0.011316 0.015870 0.021394 0.027772 0.034788 0.042983
2025-06-29 0.005909 0.009865 0.014638 0.020574 0.027555 0.035343 0.044542
2025-07-06 0.004599 0.008496 0.013389 0.019632 0.027111 0.035568 0.045663
2025-07-13 0.004034 0.008040 0.013215 0.019935 0.028085 0.037381 0.048551
2025-07-20 0.003328 0.007308 0.012632 0.019692 0.028374 0.038373 0.050475
2025-07-27 0.002752 0.006690 0.012150 0.019534 0.028731 0.039418 0.052438
2025-08-03 0.002572 0.006651 0.012425 0.020320 0.030223 0.041785 0.055920
2025-08-10 0.002081 0.006057 0.011905 0.020060 0.030415 0.042603 0.057591
2025-08-17 0.001490 0.005243 0.011088 0.019469 0.030288 0.043159 0.059110
2025-08-24 0.001050 0.004603 0.010484 0.019149 0.030510 0.044160 0.061194
2025-08-31 0.000686 0.003989 0.009858 0.018757 0.030613 0.044997 0.063069
2025-09-07 0.000467 0.003607 0.009549 0.018773 0.031215 0.046424 0.065632
2025-09-14 0.000250 0.003090 0.008965 0.018365 0.031243 0.047130 0.067318
2025-09-21 0.000081 0.002495 0.008171 0.017608 0.030778 0.047202 0.068223
2025-09-28 0.000004 0.001931 0.007341 0.016739 0.030125 0.047012 0.068785
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001789 0.007284 0.017018 0.031005 0.048732 0.071659
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001510 0.006912 0.016795 0.031187 0.049564 0.073443
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001281 0.006605 0.016648 0.031462 0.050503 0.075350
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001296 0.006844 0.017373 0.032939 0.052973 0.079136